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Box Office Predictions & Analysis (21/07/17)

 

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BIG MONEY WEEKEND incoming, box office regulars. Christopher Nolan’s Dunkirk, Girl’s Trip and Valerian and the City of a Thousand Planets are all new releases, and War for the Planet of the Apes and Spider-Man: Homecoming are still reeling in audiences.

Let’s get down to it.

Dunkirk
Synopsis: Christopher Nolan’s back!

Budget: $150 million
Rotten Tomatoes: 92%
Current Box Office: $0 million
Domestic Box Office: $0 million
Prior Weekend Box Office: $0 million.
Our Prediction: $60 million

Comments: Reviews insist Dunkirk is amongst the greatest war movies ever and Christopher Nolan is one of those rare directors that appeals to audiences, so Dunkirk should find a sizeable amount this weekend.

It isn’t all positive. Unfortunately world war movies tend to gross less for some reason, so Dunkirk does have that as a disadvantage.

More than Interstellar’s $47 million. Less than the Dark Knight Rise’s $160 million. I’m expecting $60 million.

Girls Trip
Synopsis: Who is going to watch this?

Budget: $27.7 million
Rotten Tomatoes: 88%
Current Box Office: $0 million
Domestic Box Office: $0 million
Prior Weekend Box Office: $0 million
Our Prediction: $29 million

Comments: Director Malcolm D. Lee has a winning track record with black comedies, reviews are solid and the cast is recognisable. Huge buzz and a summer comedy will pay off Girls Trip with $29 million.

War for the Planet of the Apes
Synopsis: Another ape movie I won’t see.

Budget: $150 million
Rotten Tomatoes: 94%
Current Box Office: $129.2 million
Domestic Box Office: $77.3 million
Weekend Box Office: $56.5 million
Our Prediction: $24 million

Comments: War should decline over 50% after its opening weekend, which isn’t great news since the movie’s opening wasn’t as high as expected. $24 million.

Elsewhere: Spider-Man: Homecoming should add $22 million. Valerian should debut low to about $15 million.

Next Weekend: Atomic Blonde & The Emoji Movie.

Last Year: Star Trek Beyond opened to a good-but-disappointing $59.3 million.

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8 Comments »

    • As a writer, I obviously admire what Nolan can achieve, but his screenplays feel so amateurish because of the poor dialogue and basic plotting. His earlier work was a lot better, though.

      Like

    • Everybody is buzzing around town. I just got out of a screening. It’s definitely worth seeing. Not particularly violent, which shocked me given the subject. A couple of memorable sequences.

      Like

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