Box Office Analysis (01/09/17)

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Summer is coming to an end and the box office has been disappointing and deplorable according to most film analysers like myself. Studios have also expressed dismay at the numbers and the overall box office is reported to be down a terrible 10% from last year.

The Hollywood Reporter are calling the box office performance a historic low and The DailyWire blamed ‘failing franchises’ and ‘dirty comedies’ for the unimpressive period.

Sony’s Baby Driver may be the only unexpected beam of light in the pathetic season with the R Rated Comedy (The House, Rough Night) genre really suffering, as well as the big budget franchise hopefuls like Valerian and King Arthur: The Legend of the Sword.

The final weekend of the summer is ending with a whimper than a bang with Ryan Reynolds-Samuel L. Jackson team-up, the Hitman’s Bodyguard reigning supreme with just over $7 million.

Our friends at Box Office Mojo have compiled a top 10 list:

WEEKEND FORECAST

The Hitman’s Bodyguard (3,370 theatres) – $7.1 M
Annabelle: Creation (3,358 theatres) – $5.1 M
Wind River (2,602 theatres) – $4.0 M
Leap! (2,705 theatres) – $4.0 M
Dunkirk (2,752 theatres) – $4.0 M
Logan Lucky (2,975 theatres) – $3.3 M
Spider-Man: Homecoming (2,036 theatres) – $2.7 M
Hazlo Como Hombre (382 theatres) – $2.7 M
The Emoji Movie (2,108 theatres) – $2.3 M
Birth of the Dragon (1,633 theatres) – $2.3 M

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TGL Round Up — Serena Williams Gives Birth, The Crow Reboot Still Incoming, True Detective Series 3 Greenlit

SERENA

Tennis Legend Serena Williams gave birth to a 6-pound, 13-ounce baby girl on Friday, ESPN confirmed.

Moments before her match at the U.S. Open, sister Venus Williams was asked about becoming an aunt. “Obviously I’m super excited. Words can’t describe,” she told ESPN.

Serena Williams had the baby in West Palm Beach, Fla., ESPN reported.


The Crow reboot is still in the works apparently.

The Crow Reborn, has landed at Sony Pictures, which has signed to distribute the feature project.

Sources say the reboot will be a more faithful adaptation of the indie comic created by James O’Barr that was first published in 1989.


It’s official: HBO is moving forward with a third series of anthology True Detective.

Series three will tell the story of a macabre crime in the heart of the Ozarks and a mystery that deepens over decades and plays out in three separate time periods.

Oscar winner Mahershala Ali (Moonlight) will topline season three as Wayne Hays, a state police detective from Northwest Arkansas.

A premiere date has not yet been determined.

Box Office Results (07/08/17)

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Johnny Box Office is back with a quick box office round-up after TGL’s week long vacation and one of the worst weekends of the summer for movies. The Dark Tower, which was the victim of a brutal Variety hit piece recently for its notorious production issues, debuted amidst hard competition in Dunkirk, The Emoji Movie and Girls Trip.

The Dark Tower, which is based on a Stephen King book series and stars Idris Elba, disappointed with $19.5 million from the domestic audience. One of The Dark Tower’s advantages is a relatively low budget ($60 million) and international appeal, however, and the science fantasy film is expected to find more of an audience in international waters than at home in the States.

Dunkirk held well in its third weekend with a healthy $17.6 million and is now the third highest original live action movie of the year so far with $133 million. Warner Bros. will be pleased.

Despite dire reviews, The Emoji Movie added $12.4 million to its now $49.5 million domestic gross. Sony will be aiming for around the $100 million mark by the time the movie’s run is over. Acceptable for a movie with a $50 million budget and those reviews.

I’ve been Johnny Box Office with your box office round-up. See you on Friday for my fuller predictions and analysis. Ryan Reynolds and Samuel L Jackson’s The Hitman’s Bodyguard is amongst the new releases.

Box Office Predictions & Analysis (28/07/17)

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The much derided Emoji Movie and the much anticipated Atomic Blonde are set for release this weekend and without much competition both would clean up with great debuts, but Dunkirk, Girls Trip and even War for Planet of the Apes offer sufficient competition.

Let’s get down to it.

The Emoji Movie
Synopsis: The movie nobody wanted.

Budget: $50 million
Rotten Tomatoes: 3%
Current Box Office: $0 million
Domestic Box Office: $0 million
Prior Weekend Box Office: $0 million
Our Prediction: $30 million

Comments: Reviews are so, so shockingly bad, but a sheer lack of alternative options for families really helps the Emoji Movie this weekend. $30 million should be enough to beat Dunkirk for the top spot, but The Emoji Movie needs to perform well on its second weekend.

Dunkirk
Synopsis: Christopher Nolan’s back!

Budget: $100 million
Rotten Tomatoes: 92%
Current Box Office: $131.6 million
Domestic Box Office: $74.7 million
Prior Weekend Box Office: $50.5 million.
Our Prediction: $27 million

Comments: Great buzz and reviews should help Dunkirk retain a good chunk of its audience from its $50.5 million opening last weekend. I’m expecting a softer decline of 40-50% with $27 million.

Atomic Blonde
Synopsis: Charlie Theron plays Bond.

Budget: $30 million
Rotten Tomatoes: 75%
Current Box Office: $0 million
Domestic Box Office: $0 million
Prior Weekend Box Office: $0 million
Our Prediction: $24 million

Comments: Atomic Blonde is an attempt to create a Bond franchise with a female lead and with a modest budget of $30 million and Charlize Theron in the titular role, Atomic Blonde should definitely succeed at the box office. I’m estimated $22 million based on Theron’s draw.

Elsewhere: Girls Trip should add another $20 million, possibly challenging Atomic Blonde. Spider-Man: Homecoming should add $10 million to its toll.

Next Weekend: Idris Elba in The Dark Tower and Kathryn Bigelow’s Detroit.

Last Year: Jason Bourne debuted at number one with $59.2M for Universal.

Box Office Results (17/07/17)

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This weekend promised and delivered BIG MONEY with Planet of the Apes beating out Spider-Man for the top spot, but audiences declined at theatres, suggesting summer is reaching the end and the BIG MONEY period is almost over for the year.

Let’s get down to it.

Click here for a refresher.

War for the Planet of the Apes
Synopsis: Another ape movie I won’t see.

Budget: $150 million
Rotten Tomatoes: 94%
Current Box Office: $0 million
Domestic Box Office: $0 million
Weekend Box Office: $56.5 million
Our Prediction: $75 million

Comments: Fox adjusted projections upon great buzz and phenomenal reviews, but War for the Planet of the Apes only managed to gross within its original projections range.

Less than Dawn of the Planet of the Apes. More in line with Rise of the Planet of the Apes.

Disappointing for our prediction, as well as industry estimates.

Spider-Man: Homecoming
Synopsis: Another Spider-Man reboot. Seriously.

Budget: $175 million
Rotten Tomatoes: 97%
Current Box Office: $469.3 million
Domestic Box Office: $208.2 million
Weekend Box Office: $45.2 million.
Our Prediction: $53 million

Comments: Homecoming declined larger than we expected, losing 61% of its audience after a big opening in contrast to our expected 55%. It is line, however, with 2016’s Captain America: Civil War, which declined 60% in its second weekend.

Elsewhere: Despicable Me 3 added $18.9 million, whereas The Big Sick reeled in $7.6 million and Edgar Wright’s Baby Driver added $8.8 million.

Next Weekend: Dunkirk is the big one. Valerian is another.

Last Year: The Secret Life of Pets took in $50.8 million in its second weekend.

Box Office Predictions & Analysis (14/07/17)

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Johnny Box Office is back, baby, with his first official post on the new site!

I’ve got a great weekend in store for my first post back. It’s going to be a BIG MONEY WEEKEND. You can’t get any better than that and that’s what I’m promising you in the forecast.

War for the Planet of the Apes and Spider-Man: Homecoming will be battling it out for the top spot and it’s going to be a close call.

Let’s get down to it.

War for the Planet of the Apes
Synopsis: Another ape movie I won’t see.
 
Budget: $150 million
Rotten Tomatoes: 94%
Current Box Office: $0 million 
Domestic Box Office: $0 million
Prior Weekend Box Office: $0 million
Our Prediction: $75 million
 
Comments: War was originally set for a $50-60 million weekend according to Fox projects, but thanks to good word-of-mouth and the unbelievable reviews, the studio is now hoping for a lot more.

Who can blame them? I’m expecting War to kill it at the box office and find $75 million. More than the $72.3 million takings of Dawn of the Planet of the Apes in 2014.
 
Spider-Man: Homecoming
Synopsis: Another Spider-Man reboot. Seriously.

Budget: $175 million
Rotten Tomatoes: 97%
Current Box Office: $293.6 million
Domestic Box Office: $154.6 million
Prior Weekend Box Office: $117 million.
Our Prediction: $53 million
 
Comments: Homecoming opened to HUGE numbers last week, so I’m definitely expecting a BIG drop this weekend. I feel as if 50% would be too generous. Let’s go with 55%.

$53 million.

Elsewhere: Despicable Me 3 should add $19 million, whereas The Big Sick aims to reel in $10 million and Edgar Wright’s Baby Driver is likely to add $8 million.

Next Weekend: Dunkirk is the big one. Valerian is another.

Last Year: The Secret Life of Pets took in $50.8 million in its second weekend.

Blind Item Revealed — Daniel Craig & James Bond

You will not believe the deal this A list actor is closing for the next instalment of that famous franchise. It is practically unheard of and may make him the highest paid actor ever.

It’s the sort of money that is enough to last forever, unless, you know, he starts blowing it all on girls and sporting golden body parts.

That could get a little pricey.

So, tell me, Gossipers:

Who is our actor?

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Daniel Craig & the James Bond Series

Blind Item Posting: 19/04/17

The Story: Daniel Craig to Return as James Bond, and Adele Might Sing the Theme Song 

Popular Guesses: Daniel Craig / Mike Myers / Will Smith

For the past few years, Daniel Craig’s will-he-won’t-he-return to the James Bond franchise has been a roller coaster of a story to behold.

At first, Craig denied any interest in playing the iconic 007 once again, even claiming he’d rather “slash [his] wrists” than return for Bond 25. In response to Craig’s announcement, Eon Productions reportedly commenced a search for a replacement with Idris Elba’s name being touted amongst several others. Eon Productions executive Barbara Brocolli was also photographed meeting with actor Jamie Bell for lunch.

The story took a twist shortly after and Eon were believed to be waiting on Craig to make a final decision with the key executives being particularly keen on Craig sticking around despite his constant insistence otherwise.

All of that speculation, gossip and time wasting was seemingly for nought because multiple outlets reported over the weekend Craig is indeed returning to play Bond for the fifth time in the upcoming Bond 25.

The Mirror claims that producer Barbara Broccoli “is said to have secured” the actor and is “determined” to have Adele return as well; the singer won an Academy Award for performing the “Skyfall” theme song.

My source told me this at the start of the year and mentioned the salary is unbelievable. Craig will be the highest paid Bond ever without any competition. It’s mid-to-high 8 figures.